Last week, Bitcoin’s price briefly reached approximately $93,300 but failed to close above this key resistance level. By Monday, the price had dropped below $85,000, continuing a mean-reversion trend and invalidating a bullish trend reversal. This price action reflects difficulty in breaking through the upper barrier during recent trading sessions.

The current challenge for Bitcoin stems from thin spot liquidity and shallow order-book depth around the $93,000 level. More than 400,000 BTC acquired near $84,000 have established an onchain floor, but active buying between $84,000 and $90,000 remains weak. Many short-term holders are still holding below their average entry price of $104,600, contributing to a low-liquidity environment.

Data from CryptoQuant showed that Binance’s Bitcoin-to-Stablecoin Reserve Ratio dropped to its lowest point since 2018. This ratio compares Bitcoin held on the exchange to stablecoins, implying a large stablecoin supply is poised to buy BTC. Historically, such extreme ratios on exchanges have preceded major price rallies.

Currently, Bitcoin is trading within a range bounded by $80,600 to $84,000 on the lower end and $96,000 on the higher end, with liquidity concentrations at these levels. A retest of the lower band could help absorb selling pressure and build a base before prices potentially rise. Conversely, attempting to retest the upper band without replenishing liquidity below may lead to a renewed sell-off.

Given the present market conditions and the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting on December 9–10, a period of sideways price consolidation appears likely. Traders may remain cautious, awaiting signals regarding U.S. interest rate policies before making significant moves.

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